It’s now a reality – The overwhelming evidence that World War III has begun
The truth, however, is that we are not heading for World War III since it is already underway.
There are a few analysts who warn that the conflict in Ukraine could get out of control and escalate into World War III.
A variation on this theme is that the war could escalate to nuclear war with conventional nuclear weapons.
Most are pointing the finger at Russia as the one to launch a nuclear strike out of desperation over a failed campaign in Ukraine.
In fact, the opposite is true.
The Russian campaign is not failing (it has been on hold for several months waiting for the right conditions to launch a winter offensive), James Rickards, an award-winning author and leading geopolitical analyst, points out in his analysis.
The most likely to use nuclear weapons first is the US to save its honor and destabilize Russia when Ukraine collapses. Many people find this hard to believe.
Western propaganda conveys an image that Putin is the devil who wants to destroy the world.
But the truth is different.
After all, the USA is the one that conducted the only nuclear war in history from August 6 to 9, 1945 and it had a successful outcome. But now a nuclear war cannot be limited geographically and if it started it would be equivalent to World War III.
World War III began
The truth, however, is that we are not heading for World War III since it is already underway.
The question of when wars in general and world wars in particular begin and end is not as clear cut as many believe.
There are many examples:
World War I
When does a war officially begin? It’s complicated When did WWI start?
There were many precursors, including the Agadir Crisis in Morocco (1911), the Italo-Turkish War (1911–12) and the Balkan Wars (1912–1913).
Clearly, the First World War was in its countdown phase as early as 1911.
More specifically, did World War I begin with the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand on June 28, 1914?
With Austria-Hungary’s declaration of war on Serbia on July 28, 1914;
With Germany’s declaration of war on Russia on August 1, 1914?
The fact is that the beginning of the First World War (then called the Great War) was a series of mistakes.
There were many other errors besides those just mentioned.
Of course, the US entered World War I on April 6, 1917.
The end of World War I is also confusing.
November 11, 1918 is presented as the end of the war but it is not quite right.
That was the day an armistice was signed and hostilities ceased.
But the armistice is a ceasefire, not a peace treaty.
The actual Treaty of Versailles that ended the war was signed on June 28, 1919.
The Korean War
The Korean War ended with an armistice signed on July 27, 1953, but technically it is not yet over since there was never a peace treaty.
World War II
The most interesting case (and the most relevant to the war in Ukraine) is the beginning of World War II.
When did World War II really start?
Most Americans reflexively date it from December 7, 1941, when Japan attacked Pearl Harbor.
This is the correct date for US entry, but of course the war began on September 1, 1939, when Germany invaded Poland.
The United Kingdom and France declared war on Germany on September 3, 1939.
However, World War II actually started much earlier.
Japan invaded Manchuria on September 18, 1931. They established a puppet regime there called Manchukuo led by Emperor Puyi (the infamous “Last Emperor” of China and a descendant of the Qing Dynasty).
This was followed by a full-scale invasion of China by Japan in 1937 and the Nanjing Atrocities in December of that year
Of course, the European and Pacific theaters of World War II were different and separated geographically, but it is at least arguable that World War II began in China in 1931 or 1937 at the latest.
We should not at all ignore the Spanish Civil War (1936–1939) in which Germany bombed Guernica, Russia funded the Popular Front, and many foreigners of mostly leftist persuasions formed the International Brigades, including the American Abraham Lincoln Brigade.
The sight of the US and Russia fighting Germany on Spanish soil was a preview of World War II.
The influx of foreign fighters into the war in Ukraine offers a modern parallel.
The case for the start of World War III
The case for vague beginnings and endings of wars is clear.
What is the case for saying that World War III has already started based on the situation in Ukraine?
The first point is the number of states directly involved.
It is wrong to say that NATO members support Ukraine behind the scenes.
These countries are directly involved in providing arms, intelligence, money, ammunition and with military personnel on the ground.
Polish troops are operating as mercenaries in Ukrainian uniforms and this cannot be disputed.
US and UK military specialists are inside Ukraine providing intelligence, weapons training and help with logistics.
(These special operators are often hired by the CIA and MI6 to cover up their connections with the US and UK secret services.)
Poland and Lithuania are supplying advanced Leopard tanks to Ukraine.
The UK is preparing to send Ukraine its most advanced battle tank, the Challenger II, as well.
The US provides Bradley fighting vehicles and Stryker armored personnel carriers.
The US also sends HIMARS and Patriot.
The West provides Ukraine with ammunition, money, drones, satellite imaging and cooperation.
Russia has not been relentless in recruiting allies and mercenaries.
Team Wagner, a private army, is on the front lines near Soledar and Bakhmut.
Russia is getting drones from Turkey and Iran.
Fighters are arriving from Syria.
China provides financial support and offers technology that helps Russia build its weapons and continue its missile attacks.
The ladder of escalation
Physical combat occurred in Poland (an errant Ukrainian missile), Belarus (also an errant Ukrainian missile), Russia (drone attacks on air bases in Russia with nuclear weapons nearby), and Germany (sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines).
There were also naval battles in the Black Sea. Of course, a long list of countries provide support to Ukraine by participating in US and EU-led financial and economic sanctions.
Countries now directly involved in the war in Ukraine with weapons, money, intelligence, mercenaries or economic sanctions include the US, UK, Germany, France, Poland, Lithuania, Canada, Australia, Ukraine, Russia, China, Syria, Iran, Turkey, Japan, Romania, Belarus and Moldova.
These countries span four continents.
The economic implications are global.
If this is not a world war, it is not clear what is.
World War III is here. It may be at the 1937 stage and not at the 1941 stage.
Our only hope is for the situation to remain at the 1937 stage but that seems impossible.
And it is important to emphasize for investors and for everyone, that this war is not close to its end.
It’s still early days.
It is much more likely to extend to affected countries, economic sanctions and war.
The risk of escalation into a nuclear holocaust is real and growing. Will anyone stop it before it’s too late?
from: https://www.bankingnews.gr/analyseis-ektheseis/articles/662702/i-istoria-didaskei-oi-atrantaxtes-apodeikseis-pou-epivevaionoun-pos-o-g-pagkosmios-polemos-exei-idi-arxisei
